BTC/USDT – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-08 23:00 UTC 16 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.25 %

Entry

74,851.44

Target

76,200.00 +1.80 %

closes in profit

Stop

73,918.34 −1.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 7,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,356 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.63 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.47 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.49 % 23 % at stop avg −2.03 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, CCI OS Exit, RSI OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,470 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.51
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.85
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.73
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.51
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.23

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold-exit and momentum-cross signals align on the 1H, indicating a high-probability short-term bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend long — expect limited upside unless 76200 is broken.
Nearest resistance at 76200 is the key hurdle; a close above it would strengthen the bullish case.
No clear support level is defined, so use recent lows or a fixed risk for invalidation.

The 1H BTC/USDT signal fires a dense cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-cross indicators — CCI OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up — alongside HMA Break Up and a Keltner Lower retreat. Together these suggest a short-term bounce attempt after a sharp decline, with the price likely reclaiming short-term momentum. However, the broader trend across timeframes remains bearish, with solid downtrends on 15m, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h, and only a weak forming trend on 30m and 1h. The daily chart is choppy, adding uncertainty. The nearest resistance at 76200 is a key level; a sustained move above it could shift the bias, while failure to hold the bounce risks a continuation lower.

Given the very strong probability (91%) and high strength, the signal favors a tactical long, but it is counter-trend against the dominant bearish structure. The confluence of multiple oversold exits and momentum crossovers increases the likelihood of a short-term rebound, but the lack of higher-timeframe support means this should be treated as a scalp or swing entry with tight risk management. The absence of a defined nearest support complicates invalidation; traders should use recent swing lows or a fixed risk amount. The 1D choppy trend suggests the bounce could be part of a broader range, not a reversal.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of nine signals including CCI, RSI, STOCH, KDJ, ERI, and HT PHASOR oversold exits and crossovers.
▲ HMA Break Up and Keltner Lower retreat indicate price reclaiming short-term momentum from extreme oversold conditions.
▲ Very strong signal strength (91% probability) suggests high confidence in the immediate bounce.
▲ Daily trend is choppy, not a strong downtrend, leaving room for a corrective rally.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trend across 15m to 12h timeframes argues against sustained upside; the bounce may fade quickly.
▼ Resistance at 76200 is nearby and could cap gains; a failure to break it would confirm the bearish bias.
▼ No defined support level makes it hard to set a precise invalidation; a drop below recent swing lows would negate the signal.
▼ Momentum indicators are prone to false signals in choppy markets, especially when the daily trend is sideways.