BTC/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-09 12:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.97 %

Entry

75,368.41

Target

81,196.01 +7.73 %

closes in profit

Stop

62,535.24 −17.03 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 816 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 816 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 18 % at stop avg −5.96 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, WILLR OS Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 100 % (14.53) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.0 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 26.3 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 3,284 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 4h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 4h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	2.11
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.69
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.86
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals fired on the 12H chart, including a Belt Hold Bullish and multiple oversold exits.
The broader trend remains bearish across 2H to 12H timeframes, so this is a counter-trend bounce, not a reversal.
Nearest resistance is 81196.01; nearest support is 74967.97. A break below support invalidates the bullish setup.
Momentum is turning up on lower timeframes, but higher timeframe trend scores are still strongly bearish.

The 12H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Belt Hold Bullish candlestick, a BOP Zero Cross Up, and multiple oscillator exits from oversold conditions (CCI, Stochastic Fast, Williams %R). The TTM Trend has flipped up and price has rebounded off the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a short-term momentum shift and potential buying pressure. However, this signal arrives against a broader bearish backdrop: the 2H through 12H timeframes all show solid to very strong downtrends, while higher timeframes remain in bearish alignment. The bullish signals are therefore best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, with the nearest resistance at 81196.01 serving as a critical hurdle. Support at 74967.97 is the key level to watch; a sustained break below would invalidate the bullish setup and confirm the dominant bearish trend.

The confluence of multiple indicators pointing to oversold conditions and a bullish candlestick pattern suggests that selling pressure may be exhausting in the short term. The 15m and 30m timeframes are already showing early bullish attempts, which could provide a foundation for a move toward resistance. However, the bearish trend scores on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts are strong, and the lack of bullish alignment across higher timeframes limits the durability of any rally. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with a defined risk level, not a trend reversal signal. The invalidation level is the support at 74967.97; a close below that would negate the bullish case and likely accelerate the downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (CCI, Stochastic, Williams %R) exited oversold conditions simultaneously, indicating strong buying interest.
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick and BOP Zero Cross Up add confluence to the momentum shift.
▲ TTM Trend flipped up and price rebounded off the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a short-term bottom may be forming.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already showing bullish attempts, which could support a move toward resistance.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across 2H to 12H timeframes is strong (scores 3-4/5) and could easily overwhelm the bounce.
▼ Resistance at 81196.01 is a major hurdle; failure to break above it could lead to renewed selling.
▼ The bullish signal is isolated to the 12H chart; higher timeframe (1D) is still bearish, limiting upside potential.
▼ If price breaks below support at 74967.97, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.