BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-09 04:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.51 %

Entry

73,870.02

Target

73,194.11 +0.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,196.01 −9.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↓ −17.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 34 % (4.99) ▼ Bearish 66 % (9.78)

model score 9.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 11h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 11h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 11h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.65
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.33
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.30
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.00
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.47
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.35
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.20
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.91
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.90
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 4H suggests strong selling momentum.
Bearish trends across all timeframes up to 12h support the short-term downside bias.
The daily chart remains sideways, so the broader trend is not fully bearish yet.
Watch the 81,196 resistance as the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.

The 4H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI and Williams %R overbought exits, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, MAMA, midpoint, midprice) plus a trendline retreat. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and momentum shifting lower across the board. The bearish alignment is consistent across nearly all timeframes from 15m up to 12h, with the 2H showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 4H itself solid (3/5). The only exception is the daily chart, which remains choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting the broader daily trend is not yet decisively bearish. The nearest resistance sits at 81,196, which now acts as a key overhead barrier; a break above that level would weaken the bearish case. The lack of a defined nearest support level means there is no immediate floor to gauge potential downside, so traders should watch for the formation of support or a bounce off prior lows.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) all pointing lower.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 12h timeframes, with 2H showing very strong bearish trend.
▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, MAMA, midpoint, midprice) confirm momentum shift.
▼ BOP zero cross down signals a shift in buying pressure to selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Daily chart is choppy/sideways, which could limit the depth of the move.
▲ Price is near resistance, but a break above 81,196 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Overbought conditions on RSI and Williams %R may already be stretched, risking a bounce.
▲ No defined support level means the downside could be unpredictable, but also that a bounce could occur at any prior low.