BTC/USDT – 2H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 5× UPDATED

2026-11-08 22:00 UTC 16 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.28 %

Entry

74,851.44

Target

81,196.01 +8.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

73,560.67 −1.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 3,968 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,968 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.07 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.08 % 22 % at stop avg −2.83 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, STOCH KD Cross Up, CMO OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 94 % (21.50) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.46)

model score 93.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,470 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.68
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.51
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.20
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.19
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.79
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of momentum and mean-reversion signals on the 2H suggests a short-term bounce is likely, but it is counter-trend within a broader bearish structure.
All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, with solid trends on the 2H and above, so the buy signal is a tactical long, not a trend change.
The nearest resistance at 81196.01 is the key level to watch; a break above could open the door for a larger recovery, while rejection would confirm the downtrend.
No defined support means the invalidation level is unclear; watch for a break below recent lows to negate the bullish signal.

The 2H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a cluster of momentum and mean-reversion signals pointing to a potential short-term bounce within a broader downtrend. The BOP Zero Cross Up and CMO/RSI oversold exits indicate selling pressure is easing, while the STOCH KD Cross Up and CTI oversold entry suggest a shift in short-term momentum. The FISHER Zero Cross Down and HT SINE Zero Cross Down, along with the HT TRENDMODE transitioning to trend, add to the bullish confluence, though the latter two are typically interpreted as trend-strengthening signals that can align with a counter-trend move if the market is reversing.

Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H, while the 1D is choppy. This suggests the higher-timeframe downtrend is intact, and the current buy signal is likely a counter-trend rally rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 81196.01 is the immediate upside target and a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, but until then, the bounce is expected to face selling pressure. Support is not defined, so invalidation would be a failure to hold recent lows, which are not specified.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (CMO, RSI) and a stochastic cross up indicate momentum is turning higher from oversold conditions.
▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and CTI oversold entry add to the bullish confluence, suggesting buying pressure is returning.
▲ The HT TRENDMODE shifting to trend mode and the FISHER Zero Cross Down are additional technical triggers that support the signal.
▲ The 1D timeframe is choppy, which can allow for a counter-trend bounce without conflicting with a strong daily trend.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 12h) argues against a sustained rally; this could be a dead-cat bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 81196.01 is a critical barrier; a rejection there would likely resume the downtrend.
▼ Momentum signals are mean-reversion in nature and can fade quickly if the broader downtrend reasserts itself.
▼ With no defined support, a break below recent lows would invalidate the bullish setup, but the exact level is not provided.