ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-21 01:00 UTC 1 hour ago

46.5 % ↓ −10.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 31 % (4.46) ▼ Bearish 69 % (9.72)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 29.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.2 % vs 37.3 % average · stopped out 45.0 % vs 20.0 % (Crypto, 678 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 01:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.82
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.30
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.08
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.04
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.97
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.82
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term pullback is likely.
The broader trend across higher timeframes remains bullish, so this is likely a corrective move rather than a reversal.
Watch the nearest support at 0.0310; a hold there could offer a long opportunity, while a break below signals further downside.
Momentum indicators are turning down, but the trend scores remain strong, indicating a potential buying opportunity after the dip.

The 30-minute ETH/BTC chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit, alongside a KDJ Cross Down and an ACCBANDS Upper Retreat. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum has stalled and that the pair is likely to pull back from overbought conditions. The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit further reinforces the idea that prices have moved too far too fast and may revert to the mean.

However, the broader trend remains firmly bullish across nearly all timeframes, with very strong trend scores on the 15m and 30m charts and solid trends on the 1h, 12h, and 1d charts. This creates a tension between the immediate bearish signal and the longer-term bullish structure. The nearest support level is at 0.0310, which could act as a pivot for a potential bounce if the pullback extends. Traders should watch this level closely, as a break below it could signal a deeper correction, while a hold would confirm the bullish trend remains intact.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CMO, WILLR, ZSCORE) indicate stretched conditions that often precede a pullback.
▼ The KDJ and STOCH cross downs provide confluence, strengthening the bearish case on the short-term timeframe.
▼ The ACCBANDS Upper Retreat confirms that price is retreating from the upper band, a classic sign of fading momentum.
▼ Despite the short-term bearish signal, the strong bullish trend on higher timeframes may attract dip buyers, supporting a bounce off support.

Risk Factors

▲ The dominant bullish trend across all timeframes could overwhelm the short-term bearish signal, leading to a quick reversal higher.
▲ If the pullback is shallow and price resumes its uptrend, the sell signal may be invalidated.
▲ A break below the nearest support at 0.0310 would open the door to further downside, potentially targeting lower levels.
▲ Momentum fading could turn into a full trend reversal if the higher timeframe trend scores weaken, so monitor the 1h and 4h charts for signs of deterioration.