EUR/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-09-21 00:05 UTC 15 hours ago

59.3 % – zur Vorkerze

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +4% Intraday

▲ Bullish 16 % (3.66) ▼ Bearish 84 % (18.77)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 83.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 16 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.5 % vs 17.1 % average · stopped out 12.2 % vs 9.1 % (Forex, 172 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	3.00
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.77
▼	MACD Hist Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.65
▼	Momentum Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.64
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.42
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.35
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.24
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	2.24
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.23
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.15
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.07
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	1.93
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.86
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.64
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.32
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.03
▼	Falling Window	candlestick	0.50

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 1H timeframe with high probability and multiple indicators aligned.
Higher timeframes are bullish, so this may be a pullback within an uptrend.
Key levels: support at 1.60797, resistance at 1.60797 (likely a typo; should be above current price).
Watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish move.

The 1H EUR/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with a very strong probability of 96% and a cluster of 20+ indicators aligning to the downside. The APO Zero Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, and WILLR OS Entry confirm momentum and trend strength, while the breakdown of DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MA, along with the HT TRENDLINE Break Down, point to a decisive shift in the short-term structure. The inclusion of fibonacci, divergence, and candlestick groups suggests confluence from multiple analytical angles, reinforcing the bearish case.

However, the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bullish, albeit choppy and with weak trend scores. This creates a conflict: the 1H bearish move may be a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The nearest support at 1.60797 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 1.60797 (likely a typo; should be above current price) acts as the invalidation zone. Traders should watch for a break below support to confirm continuation, and be cautious if the price reclaims the broken trendline or moving averages.

Catalysts

▼ Over 20 indicators firing bearish, including APO, AROON, WILLR, and multiple moving average breakdowns.
▼ Confluence from fibonacci, divergence, and candlestick signal groups.
▼ Very strong trend score and 96% probability on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Breakdown of the HT trendline adds weight to the bearish structure.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on higher timeframes may reduce the reliability of the signal.
▲ If price reclaims the broken moving averages or trendline, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Nearest support at 1.60797 may act as a strong floor, preventing further decline.