EUR/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED

2026-09-21 14:00 UTC 21 hours ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 28 % (9.20) ▼ Bearish 72 % (24.10)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

53.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 72.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.0 % vs 16.7 % average · stopped out 9.2 % vs 9.2 % (Forex, 120 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.68
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.57
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.42
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.37
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	2.22
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.73
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.47
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.30
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.21
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.05
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.04
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term overbought conditions are triggering a sell signal on the 2H chart.
The broader trend is still bullish but weak, so this is likely a pullback, not a reversal.
Watch the 1.60200 support; a break below it confirms the bearish move.
Resistance at 1.60797 is the key level to reclaim for the bulls to regain control.

The 2H EUR/CAD signal stack is overwhelmingly bearish in the short term, with a cluster of overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) converging with a BOP zero cross down and a weak DX trend score. This suggests that the recent upward push has run out of steam and that momentum is turning lower, at least on the 2H timeframe. The bearish candlestick and Fibonacci signals add confluence, pointing to a potential retracement from the overbought condition.

However, the broader trend context is mixed: the 15m is bearish and forming, but all higher timeframes (30m through 1D) are bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (1-2/5) and choppy/sideways behavior. This means the sell signal is likely a counter-trend pullback rather than a major reversal. The key levels to watch are resistance at 1.60797 and support at 1.60200. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) indicates exhausted buying pressure.
▼ BOP zero cross down and DX trend weak suggest deteriorating momentum and trend strength.
▼ Bearish candlestick and Fibonacci signals add confluence to the sell setup.
▼ 15m trend is already bearish, aligning with the short-term sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m to 1D) are all bullish, which could absorb the bearish pullback.
▲ Trend scores are weak (1-2/5), so the bullish trend is not strong, but it is still present.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.60797, the sell signal is invalidated.
▲ The signal is moderate strength, so the move may be shallow and choppy.