EUR/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 17× UPDATED

2026-09-21 06:00 UTC 1 day ago

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.33) ▼ Bearish 97 % (40.26)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 96.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 5 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 17× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.79
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.67
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.62
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.33
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.21
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.19
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.19
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.16
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.00
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong confluence of bearish signals on the 2H chart points to continued downside in the near term.
The 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are aligned bearish, but the 8h, 12h, and 1d are bullish, so this is likely a corrective move within a larger uptrend.
Key support at 0.94308 is the level to watch; a break below it would confirm further downside, while a hold could trigger a bounce.
Resistance at 0.94764 is the immediate invalidation level—if price reclaims it, the bearish setup weakens significantly.

The 2H EUR/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs, with additional confirmation from BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats. This is a very strong confluence of momentum, trend, and trendline-based signals, all pointing to sustained downside pressure in the immediate session. The 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are all bearish, with the 30m and 1h showing solid trend scores, which aligns with the signal's direction and suggests the selling pressure is not isolated to a single timeframe.

However, the broader picture is mixed: the 4h is bearish but choppy, while the 8h, 12h, and 1d are all bullish, with the 12h and 1d showing solid trends. This means the current bearish move is likely a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, not a full reversal. The nearest support at 0.94308 is the critical level to watch—if price holds above it, the bearish momentum could stall; a break below would open the door for deeper losses. Resistance at 0.94764 is the immediate ceiling, and a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should treat this as a short-term sell opportunity with tight risk management, given the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals across multiple groups (candlestick, indicator, trendline) on the 2H timeframe.
▼ Consistent bearish trend scores on the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, reinforcing the short-term downtrend.
▼ The Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs and multiple moving-average retreats indicate sustained selling pressure.
▼ The Trendline Break Down and BOP Zero Cross Down add technical confluence, increasing the probability of the move playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a reversal if the corrective move ends.
▲ The 4h timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear directional commitment at that level.
▲ If price fails to break below the 0.94308 support, the bearish momentum may fade, leading to a bounce back toward resistance.
▲ The very high probability (92%) may already be priced in, leaving limited room for additional downside without a fresh catalyst.