EUR/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 36× UPDATED

2026-09-21 16:00 UTC 18 hours ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +9% Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (4.22) ▼ Bearish 91 % (42.36)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 90.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 36× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.24
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.05
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.89
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.62
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.41
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.19

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30m chart with high probability and very strong strength.
Lower timeframes align bearish, but higher timeframes (8h-1d) remain bullish.
Watch nearest support at 0.94297 for a breakdown; resistance at 0.94764 is the invalidation level.
The bearish move may be a pullback within a larger uptrend, so manage risk accordingly.

The EUR/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a DX Trend Strong reading, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, a Williams %R oversold entry, a breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) alongside a trendline retreat. With 91% probability and very strong strength, the immediate bias is firmly to the downside. The lower timeframes (15m through 2h) all show bearish trend formation, aligning with the 30m signal, while the 4h timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting the bearish move is still in its early stages rather than a mature trend.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.94764 and nearest support at 0.94297. A break below support would confirm continued downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, and 1d) remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid trend (3/5). This divergence means the bearish signal is likely a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, so traders should expect potential buying pressure near support and be cautious about chasing the move too far.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (DX, DEMA, EMA, KAMA) all point down on the 30m timeframe.
▼ Breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band signals increased downside volatility.
▼ Stochastic and Williams %R confirm momentum is strongly bearish.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes supports the short-term downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 4h timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend at that level.
▲ A move back above 0.94764 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Oversold conditions (Williams %R) may trigger a bounce, so watch for momentum exhaustion.