EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-21 00:05 UTC 15 hours ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 25 % (9.42) ▼ Bearish 75 % (28.76)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 3.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 16 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 12× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 12× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.32
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	Upside Gap Three Method	candlestick	1.24
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 1H timeframe, with multiple indicators aligning lower.
Immediate trend is bearish, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) are still bullish, suggesting a pullback scenario.
Watch the 178.467 support level; a break below could open the door to further downside.
Resistance at 181.545 is the key invalidation zone for the sell signal.

The 1H EUR/JPY signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators all flipping lower simultaneously. The BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down together point to a broad loss of buying pressure and a shift to downside momentum. The WILLR OS Entry adds that the market has entered oversold territory, which can often precede further downside in a strong downtrend, while the DEMA, KAMA, and MIDPOINT Retreat Downs confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs and short-term trend structures are unwinding.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but the immediate bias is clear: the 15m through 1H timeframes are all bearish, aligning with the sell signal. However, the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are bullish, with the 12H showing a very strong uptrend. This suggests the sell signal is likely a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The 1D timeframe is bearish, adding some longer-term downside context. Key levels to watch are resistance at 181.545 and support at 178.467. A break below support would confirm sustained bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 10+ indicators all pointing down, including momentum, trend, and oscillator signals.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes, supporting the immediate sell bias.
▼ WILLR oversold entry often precedes continued downside in a strong downtrend.
▼ 1D timeframe is bearish, providing longer-term context that aligns with the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, with the 12H showing a very strong uptrend, which could absorb the bearish pullback.
▲ The sell signal may be a corrective move within a larger uptrend, leading to a bounce off support.
▲ If price reclaims the 181.545 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR) could lead to a short-term bounce, slowing the downside.