SOL/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-21 12:00 UTC 21 hours ago

35.9 % ↓ −27.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 18 % (3.47) ▼ Bearish 82 % (16.14)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 6.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 6 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 38.5 % average · stopped out 53.3 % vs 21.2 % (Crypto, 977 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.18
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.12
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.05
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.62

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on the 4H chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the broader trend is bullish.
Nearest support at 0.00128 is the key level to watch for confirmation of the downside.
Resistance at 0.00141 must hold for the bearish signal to remain valid.
Weak signal strength and bullish higher timeframes mean this is a counter-trend trade, not a reversal.

The SELL signal on SOL/BTC at the 4H timeframe is driven by a cluster of momentum and candlestick indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, CTI OB Entry, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up, RSX Midline Cross Up, and two bearish candlestick patterns (Spinning Top and Tweezers Top). These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is stalling and that a short-term pullback could be underway. However, the overall trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with solid trend scores on the 30m, 8h, and 1d, indicating that the bearish signal is likely a counter-trend move rather than a major reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00141 and the nearest support at 0.00128. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the weak strength and the bullish higher-timeframe trend, traders should treat this as a tactical short opportunity with tight risk management, rather than a long-term directional bet.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, CTI, ERI, RSX) all point to fading bullish momentum.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Spinning Top and Tweezers Top) add confluence.
▼ The signal is firing after a period of upward movement, suggesting exhaustion.
▼ Support at 0.00128 provides a clear downside target.

Risk Factors

▲ All timeframes are bullish, which could overpower the bearish signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (63%), reducing confidence.
▲ A break above resistance at 0.00141 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 15m trend is choppy, indicating indecision that could lead to false signals.