BTC/USDT – 1H – BUY
BUY NEW
40 minutes ago
54.9 %
– erste Kerze
MODERATE
⚡ Confluence +4%
Intraday
▲ Bullish 65 % (14.30)
▼ Bearish 35 % (7.67)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
48.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 65.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(22 Sep 2026, 07:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | KDJ OS Exit | indicator | 2.50 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | ZLMA Break Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.02 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.01 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▲ | Matching Low | candlestick | 0.85 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HUPVery strong trend
2HUPVery strong trend
4HUPVery strong trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The 1H signal is a bounce play after a pullback, supported by multiple oversold-exit and momentum-reversal indicators.
- Higher timeframes (1H-4H) are strongly bullish, so the pullback is likely a correction within an uptrend, not a reversal.
- Watch the 87395.67 resistance; a break above it would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
- The 15m/30m bearish trend is a caution flag—momentum may need time to align before a sustained move up.
The 1H BUY signal for BTC/USDT is driven by a cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-reversal indicators, including CCI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit, and ER Level Cross Up, alongside trend-retreat signals (KAMA, MAMA, T3 Retreat Down) that suggest the recent pullback is losing steam. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down adds a cyclical component, hinting at a potential phase shift. This confluence points to a short-term bounce attempt within a broader bullish structure.
Trend alignment is mixed but constructive: the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are all bullish with very strong trend scores (4/5), while the 8H and 1D remain bullish but with solid (3/5) scores. The 15m and 30m are bearish with solid trends, indicating that the immediate downside pressure may still be present, but the higher timeframes suggest this is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The key levels to watch are resistance at 87395.67 and support at 80126.04; a break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Trend alignment is mixed but constructive: the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are all bullish with very strong trend scores (4/5), while the 8H and 1D remain bullish but with solid (3/5) scores. The 15m and 30m are bearish with solid trends, indicating that the immediate downside pressure may still be present, but the higher timeframes suggest this is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The key levels to watch are resistance at 87395.67 and support at 80126.04; a break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Strong bullish trend alignment across 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes (all 4/5) supports the buy signal.
- ▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (CCI, KDJ, STOCHRSI) suggest the selling pressure is exhausted and a reversal is likely.
- ▲ Trend-retreat signals (KAMA, MAMA, T3) indicate the pullback is losing momentum, setting up for a bounce.
- ▲ Price is well above nearest support at 80126.04, providing a clear invalidation level.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish with solid trends, which could delay the bounce or push price lower first.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 80126.04, the bullish signal is invalidated and a deeper correction may unfold.
- ▼ The signal strength is moderate (65% probability), so there is a meaningful chance of a false start or sideways consolidation.
- ▼ The 12H trend is only forming (2/5), meaning the longer-term bullish structure is not yet fully confirmed.
Symbol
BTC/USDT
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
65%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-09-22 06:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 87,395.67000 | 2026-09-21 |
| S1 | 80,126.04000 | 2026-09-20 |
| S2 | 76,000.00000 | 2026-09-17 |
| S3 | 75,064.82000 | 2026-09-16 |