BTC/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-22 18:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

57.9 % – erste Kerze

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +4% Intraday

▲ Bullish 28 % (3.77) ▼ Bearish 72 % (9.53)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 71.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 38.5 % average · stopped out 53.3 % vs 21.2 % (Crypto, 977 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	2.01
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.23
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.04
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Hourly momentum has flipped bearish, but higher timeframes remain firmly bullish.
The pullback is likely corrective; watch the 85114 support as the line in the sand.
Mixed oscillator signals (STOCH KD up vs STOCHF down) suggest choppy, not clean, downside.
Resistance at 87395.67 caps any bounce attempts in the near term.

The 1H BTC/USDT signal stack is firmly bearish, with a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators firing SELL simultaneously. The BOP Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down point to deteriorating buying pressure, while DEMA Retreat Down and HMA Retreat Down confirm a pullback in the hourly trend. The STOCH KD Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Down create a mixed short-term oscillator picture, but the net effect is a loss of upside momentum. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and HT SINE Cross Up add a cyclical bearish tilt, reinforcing the idea that the hourly move is corrective.

However, this bearish signal runs against a strongly bullish higher-timeframe backdrop. All timeframes from 1H up to 1D are bullish, with the 2H and 4H trends rated 'very strong' (4/5). This suggests the SELL is likely a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend, not a reversal. The nearest resistance at 87395.67 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce, while support at 85114.00 is the key level to watch—a break below would open the door to deeper correction, but holding it would keep the bullish structure intact.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, ER, DEMA, HMA) align on the bearish side.
▼ Cycle-based signals (HT PHASOR, HT SINE) add confluence to the hourly downtick.
▼ The 71% probability and moderate strength reflect a solid, but not extreme, signal.
▼ Nearest support at 85114 is far enough to allow room for a meaningful pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish 2H and 4H trends (4/5) argue against a sustained decline—this could be a shallow dip.
▲ Stochastic cross divergence (KD up vs KF down) warns of whipsaw risk in the short term.
▲ A break back above 87395.67 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal resumption of the uptrend.
▲ If the pullback stalls above 85114, the SELL may fizzle quickly.