SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL NEW
1 hour ago
39.0 %
↓ −0.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100 % (6.38)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 16.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
all 8 timeframes.
Target hit 7.8 %
vs 38.5 % average ·
stopped out 53.3 %
vs 21.2 %
(Crypto, 977 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(22 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 1.10 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 0.90 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.90 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 0.89 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Short-term momentum has turned bearish on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators and candlestick patterns aligning for a sell signal.
- The broader trend across all timeframes is bullish, so this signal likely represents a correction within an uptrend rather than a reversal.
- Watch the nearest support level; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
- The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price was overextended, increasing the probability of a pullback.
The SELL signal on SOL/USDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and candlestick patterns, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, alongside a Bearish Harami Cross and Gapping Down Doji. The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price had deviated significantly above its mean, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 1d) showing solid uptrends. This creates a potential conflict: the short-term bearish signal may indicate a temporary correction within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 118.03000 and support at 118.03000 (note: support appears to be a typo; likely the nearest support is lower, but as provided, watch for a break below the recent swing low). A break below the nearest support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could invalidate the signal. The signal's high probability and strength suggest immediate downside pressure, but traders should be cautious of the bullish higher timeframe trend that could absorb the pullback.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 118.03000 and support at 118.03000 (note: support appears to be a typo; likely the nearest support is lower, but as provided, watch for a break below the recent swing low). A break below the nearest support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could invalidate the signal. The signal's high probability and strength suggest immediate downside pressure, but traders should be cautious of the bullish higher timeframe trend that could absorb the pullback.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HT PHASOR) and candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami Cross, Gapping Down Doji) are aligned in the same bearish direction.
- ▼ The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price was statistically overbought, supporting a mean reversion.
- ▼ The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability indicate high conviction in the short-term move.
- ▼ The 30-minute timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, which can lead to quick reversals and favor short-term trades.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The higher timeframe trend is bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a quick bounce.
- ▲ The nearest support is very close to the current price, so the downside may be limited before hitting support.
- ▲ If the price fails to break below support, the bearish signal could be invalidated, leading to a potential short squeeze.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls near support, reducing the effectiveness of the sell signal.
Symbol
SOL/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
17%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-22 17:30
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 118.03000 | 2026-09-22 |
| R2 | 119.99000 | 2026-09-21 |
| S1 | 115.54000 | 2026-09-22 |
| S2 | 107.71000 | 2026-09-20 |
| S3 | 107.40000 | 2026-09-20 |