SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
39.0 % ↓ −0.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (6.38)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 16.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 38.5 % average · stopped out 53.3 % vs 21.2 % (Crypto, 977 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
SOL/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 17%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.40
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
Gapping Down Doji candlestick 1.10
ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 0.90
Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.90
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 0.89

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term momentum has turned bearish on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators and candlestick patterns aligning for a sell signal.
  • The broader trend across all timeframes is bullish, so this signal likely represents a correction within an uptrend rather than a reversal.
  • Watch the nearest support level; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
  • The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price was overextended, increasing the probability of a pullback.
The SELL signal on SOL/USDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and candlestick patterns, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, alongside a Bearish Harami Cross and Gapping Down Doji. The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price had deviated significantly above its mean, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, with higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 1d) showing solid uptrends. This creates a potential conflict: the short-term bearish signal may indicate a temporary correction within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 118.03000 and support at 118.03000 (note: support appears to be a typo; likely the nearest support is lower, but as provided, watch for a break below the recent swing low). A break below the nearest support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could invalidate the signal. The signal's high probability and strength suggest immediate downside pressure, but traders should be cautious of the bullish higher timeframe trend that could absorb the pullback.
Catalysts
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HT PHASOR) and candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami Cross, Gapping Down Doji) are aligned in the same bearish direction.
  • The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price was statistically overbought, supporting a mean reversion.
  • The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability indicate high conviction in the short-term move.
  • The 30-minute timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, which can lead to quick reversals and favor short-term trades.
Risk Factors
  • The higher timeframe trend is bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a quick bounce.
  • The nearest support is very close to the current price, so the downside may be limited before hitting support.
  • If the price fails to break below support, the bearish signal could be invalidated, leading to a potential short squeeze.
  • Momentum could fade if the price stalls near support, reducing the effectiveness of the sell signal.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 17%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-22 17:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 118.03000 2026-09-22
R2 119.99000 2026-09-21
S1 115.54000 2026-09-22
S2 107.71000 2026-09-20
S3 107.40000 2026-09-20

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