AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
59 minutes ago
67.1 %
↑ +4.2 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100 % (30.13)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
all 8 timeframes.
Target hit 7.8 %
vs 38.5 % average ·
stopped out 53.3 %
vs 21.2 %
(Crypto, 977 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(23 Sep 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | Closing Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 1.14 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 0.87 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 0.51 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPExtremely strong trend
8HUPVery strong trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart points to a short-term pullback.
- The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so the sell signal is likely a counter-trend move.
- Watch the 10.90600 support; a break below it would confirm a deeper correction.
- Resistance at 11.23000 remains the key upside level to monitor for a potential reversal back up.
The 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a STOCH KD Cross Down, a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, a downward cross in the HT Sine Wave, a shift from trend mode to cycle mode, and multiple momentum indicators (ERI, SMI, HMA, TTM) all turning down. This suggests that the immediate upward momentum has stalled and that a short-term pullback is likely.
However, the broader trend remains firmly bullish across all timeframes, with the 4-hour chart showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 8-hour chart very strong (4/5). The bearish signals are therefore best viewed as a counter-trend correction within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 11.23000 and support at 10.90600. A break below support would signal a deeper correction, while holding above it would keep the bullish structure intact.
However, the broader trend remains firmly bullish across all timeframes, with the 4-hour chart showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 8-hour chart very strong (4/5). The bearish signals are therefore best viewed as a counter-trend correction within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 11.23000 and support at 10.90600. A break below support would signal a deeper correction, while holding above it would keep the bullish structure intact.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple indicators (STOCH, BBANDS, HT SINE, ERI, SMI, HMA, TTM) all align to the downside, increasing signal confluence.
- ▼ The shift from trend mode to cycle mode on the HT Trend Mode suggests the current uptrend is losing momentum.
- ▼ The 30-minute chart is showing a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, a classic bearish reversal signal.
- ▼ The bearish signals occur at a time when the 30-minute trend is only mildly bullish (1/5), making it easier for momentum to flip.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bullish and strong, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish signal.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m trends are still labeled bullish, so the sell signal may be premature or quickly reversed.
- ▲ If price holds above the 10.90600 support, the pullback could fail and the uptrend could resume.
- ▲ The nearest resistance at 11.23000 is not far above; a break above that level would invalidate the bearish setup.
Symbol
AVA/XUSDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-23 04:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 11.23000 | 2026-09-22 |
| R2 | 11.38200 | 2026-09-21 |
| R3 | 11.54300 | 2026-09-21 |
| S1 | 10.90600 | 2026-09-22 |
| S2 | 10.52400 | 2026-09-22 |
| S3 | 9.43600 | 2026-09-20 |