ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-23 14:00 UTC 1 hour ago

51.0 % ↑ +13.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 34 % (7.87) ▼ Bearish 66 % (15.45)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 47.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Sep 2026, 14:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.52
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	2.35
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	1.76
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.63
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.60

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A confluence of momentum and trend indicators is signaling a short-term bearish move on the 30-minute chart.
The immediate trend is bearish across most timeframes, but the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bullish, creating a potential conflict.
Watch the 0.03206 resistance level; a break above it would negate the bearish signal.
The signal has moderate strength with a 66% probability, so position sizing should account for uncertainty.

The 30-minute SELL signal on ETH/BTC is supported by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The STOCHF KD Cross Up and WILLR OS Exit suggest a short-term bounce attempt, but the concurrent DEMA and EMA Retreat Down signals indicate that the prevailing downtrend is reasserting itself. Moreover, the HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, and MIDPOINT Break Down all point to a breakdown in price structure, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the short term. The 15-minute chart shows a solid downtrend, while the 30-minute through 8-hour timeframes are all bearish but choppy, suggesting a lack of strong momentum. However, the 12-hour and daily timeframes are firmly bullish, which introduces a potential conflict. The nearest resistance at 0.03206 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup, while a rejection there could confirm further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators are aligned in the same direction, including DEMA, EMA, and trendline retreats.
▼ Price broke below key moving averages and the MAMA line, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ The 15-minute timeframe shows a solid downtrend, providing near-term confirmation.
▼ The nearest resistance is well-defined, offering a clear level to watch for a potential rejection.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are strongly bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The choppy/sideways trend on the 30m to 8h timeframes suggests the bearish move may lack strong momentum.
▲ A break above the 0.03206 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The stochastic and Williams %R signals indicate a possible bounce, which could delay the expected decline.