SOL/BTC – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-23 16:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −2.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +11% Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (15.64) ▼ Bearish 10 % (1.76)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Sep 2026, 16:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.82
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.77
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.59
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.24
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.10
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful oversold bounce is firing on the 30m chart, with 11 bullish signals converging.
The trend is bearish on lower timeframes (15m-4h) but bullish on 8h and 1d, so this is a counter-trend move within a larger context.
Resistance at 0.00138 is the key upside target; a break could extend the bounce.
Support at 0.00135 is the invalidation level—losing it negates the bullish signal.

The SOL/BTC pair on the 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bullish signals, with all oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, TRIX, ERI, ZSCORE) exiting oversold conditions or crossing zero upward, while price retreats from the lower Bollinger Band and mid-period midpoint. This confluence suggests a sharp mean-reversion bounce is underway after an extreme low in the Z-score, supported by candlestick and Fibonacci pattern groups. However, the higher timeframe trend is decidedly bearish from 15m to 4h, with only the 8h and 1d showing bullish structure, so this is best viewed as a counter-trend oversold bounce within a larger downtrend, not a reversal.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 0.00138 is the immediate upside target, and a break above it could open room toward the 1h bearish trend line. On the downside, support at 0.00135 is the invalidation zone—if price closes below this, the bounce thesis fails and the bearish trend resumes. Given the extremely strong signal probability (89%) and the alignment of multiple oscillators, the bounce may have legs, but traders should respect the higher timeframe context and manage risk tightly.

Catalysts

▲ Extreme Z-score low exit and multiple oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, TRIX, ERI) crossing up simultaneously.
▲ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band and mid-period midpoint, indicating a mean-reversion impulse.
▲ Candlestick and Fibonacci pattern groups add confluence to the indicator signals.
▲ Higher timeframe (8h, 1d) bullish trend provides a supportive backdrop for a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframe trends (15m-4h) are bearish, so the bounce could be short-lived and fade.
▼ If price breaks below 0.00135 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
▼ The 1h timeframe is choppy/sideways, offering little directional conviction.
▼ The extreme signal strength may lead to a fast but shallow bounce, with limited upside before resistance.