ETH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-24 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (24 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	VIDYA Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.48
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.29
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.11
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.96
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 4H bullish signal with 87% probability, backed by multiple momentum oscillators.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are in solid bullish trends, confirming the signal's direction.
Watch for a move toward resistance at 2807.34; a break could extend the rally.
Support at 2358.88 is the key invalidation level; a close below would negate the bullish setup.

The 4H BUY signal on ETH/USDT is backed by a broad cluster of momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, ERI) all crossing into bullish territory, while the HMA retreat and trend-mode shift confirm upward momentum. The higher timeframes (4H through 1D) are in solid-to-very-strong bullish trends, which aligns with the signal's high probability and strength. The nearest resistance at 2807.34 is the immediate upside target, while support at 2358.88 provides a clear invalidation zone.

However, the lower timeframes (1H and 2H) are still bearish, and the 15M is choppy, suggesting near-term consolidation or a pullback before continuation. The confluence of momentum signals and the strong higher-timeframe trend support the bullish case, but traders should monitor whether the price can hold above the 4H structure and eventually break resistance. A failure to sustain momentum or a break below the nearest support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, ERI) all crossed bullish, showing strong buying pressure.
▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid or very strong bullish trends, providing alignment.
▲ HMA retreat and trend-mode shift to cycle indicate the market is entering a bullish phase.
▲ High probability (87%) and very strong signal strength suggest robust conviction.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (1H, 2H) are still bearish, which could lead to a pullback or consolidation before the bullish move resumes.
▼ The 15M is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear short-term direction.
▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 2358.88, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
▼ Momentum signals can fade quickly; watch for RSI or CCI rolling over to confirm continuation.