BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY
BUY NEW
59 minutes ago
39.7 %
↓ −27.4 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
⚡ Confluence +5%
Scalping
▲ Bullish 97 % (27.83)
▼ Bearish 3 % (0.93)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 21.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(25 Sep 2026, 20:30 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Momentum Hidden Bull Div | divergence | 2.97 |
| ▲ | MACD Hist Hidden Bull Div | divergence | 2.72 |
| ▲ | CTI OB Exit | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | KELTNER MID Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.03 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 0.93 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bullish signals fired on the 30M chart, suggesting a short-term bounce attempt.
- Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bullish, but lower timeframes (15M-2H) are still bearish, so this is a counter-trend move.
- Watch the 85255 resistance: a break above confirms the reversal; failure could lead to a retest of 83183 support.
- The signal is very strong (96% probability) but should be managed with tight risk due to the mixed trend picture.
The 30-minute BUY signal on BTC/USDT packs a dense cluster of bullish triggers: the SAR has flipped bullish, while DX Trend Weak signals a fading downtrend. Price has retreated up against DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and ALMA, indicating a strong upward pullback, and the CTI OB Exit suggests the previous overbought condition has resolved. This confluence of indicator, candlestick, and divergence signals points to a short-term reversal attempt.
However, the higher-timeframe picture is mixed. The 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trends, which supports the idea that the 30M pullback is a correction within a larger uptrend. Yet the 15M, 30M, 1H, and 2H are all bearish, with the 30M and 2H only 'trend forming' at 2/5 strength. This means the immediate momentum is still down, and the signal is a counter-trend bounce. The nearest resistance at 85255 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure could see a retest of support at 83183.
However, the higher-timeframe picture is mixed. The 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trends, which supports the idea that the 30M pullback is a correction within a larger uptrend. Yet the 15M, 30M, 1H, and 2H are all bearish, with the 30M and 2H only 'trend forming' at 2/5 strength. This means the immediate momentum is still down, and the signal is a counter-trend bounce. The nearest resistance at 85255 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure could see a retest of support at 83183.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple indicators (DX Trend Weak, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, ALMA) all show upward retreats, confirming strong buying pressure.
- ▲ SAR Flip Bullish is a classic trend-reversal trigger, and the CTI OB Exit indicates the overbought condition has cleared.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trends, supporting the idea that the pullback is a buying opportunity.
- ▲ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 96% probability, indicating high confluence among the fired signals.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H, 2H) are all bearish, so the bounce could be a false breakout and fail at resistance.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 85255 is a major hurdle; if price fails to break above it, the bullish signal could be invalidated.
- ▼ The 30M and 2H trends are only 'trend forming' at 2/5 strength, meaning the bearish momentum is still building and could overpower the bounce.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 83183 would invalidate the bullish setup and open the door to further downside.
Symbol
BTC/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
21%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-25 20:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 85,255.00000 | 2026-09-25 |
| R2 | 87,278.54000 | 2026-09-23 |
| S1 | 83,183.00000 | 2026-09-25 |
| S2 | 82,874.93000 | 2026-09-24 |