BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-25 21:00 UTC 55 minutes ago

35.9 % ↓ −24.9 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping

▲ Bullish 23 % (11.17) ▼ Bearish 77 % (37.63)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 21:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.75
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.74
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.60
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.17
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.13
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.11
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.04
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.75
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.69
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.49
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.95
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish momentum is building, but it's against a bullish higher-timeframe backdrop.
Key levels to watch: support at 83183 and resistance at 85255.
The signal is strongest on the 30-minute chart; other short timeframes are choppy.
A break below 83183 would signal further downside, while a hold could lead to a bounce.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a strong AROON Up cross, with CCI, MOM, and ROC all crossing below zero. This points to a short-term loss of upside momentum and a possible shift to a lower trading range. The bearish pressure is most evident on the 30-minute timeframe, which is now showing a forming trend (2/5), while the 15-minute and 1-hour charts remain choppy and sideways, suggesting the move is still developing rather than a full-blown reversal.

The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) all remain bullish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trends (3/5). This creates a conflict: the short-term bearish signal is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend, not a trend reversal. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 83183, while resistance sits at 85255. A break below support would confirm the short-term bearish move, but a bounce off support would keep the higher-timeframe bullish structure intact.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align: Trendline Break Down, AROON cross up, and CCI/MOM/ROC zero crosses down.
▼ The 30-minute trend is forming (2/5) and the signal strength is strong (77% probability).
▼ The nearest support at 83183 provides a clear downside target.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15-minute and 1-hour charts are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum.
▲ A break back above the trendline or resistance at 85255 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum oscillators like CCI and ROC could show bullish divergence if price stalls.