ETH/BTC – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-09-25 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

67.1 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (26.21)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.6 % vs 37.1 % average · stopped out 32.1 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 716 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.88
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.97
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	0.93
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	0.86
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.81
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.80
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	0.77
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	0.73

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong SELL signal on the 12H chart, but it conflicts with the bullish higher-timeframe trend.
Momentum and trend indicators are all pointing down on the 12H, suggesting a potential pullback or reversal.
Watch the nearest support at 0.03059; a break below could confirm bearish continuation, while holding may lead to a bounce.
Higher timeframes (1D, 1H) remain bullish, so treat this as a possible correction within an uptrend.

The SELL signal on ETH/BTC's 12H chart is driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators crossing down, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, BBANDS MIDDLE, DEMA, and MIDPOINT. This suggests a loss of upside momentum and a potential shift toward bearish conditions on the medium-term timeframe. However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, with the 1D showing a solid trend (3/5). This creates a conflict: the 12H signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend, which could mean this is a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.03342 and support at 0.03059. A break below support would likely confirm the bearish signal and open the door for further downside, while holding above support could see the pullback fade and the bullish trend resume. The 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish but choppy (1/5), indicating weak conviction in the short-term move. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the higher-timeframe trend for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, BBANDS MIDDLE, DEMA, MIDPOINT) are aligned in the same direction, increasing signal reliability.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with an 89% probability, suggesting high confluence among the indicators.
▼ The bearish momentum is visible on lower timeframes (15m, 30m), which may precede a larger move if it aligns with the 12H signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.03342 has not been broken, keeping the bearish scenario valid.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could mean the 12H sell signal is a false signal or a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are bearish but choppy, indicating weak momentum and potential for a quick reversal.
▲ If price holds above the nearest support at 0.03059, the bearish signal could fail and the uptrend could resume.
▲ The 12H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bearish move may lack strong trend support on that timeframe.