ETH/BTC – 2H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-25 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.3 % vs 37.1 % average · stopped out 42.5 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 699 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.09
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.92
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators and candlestick patterns align for a short-term bearish move on the 2H chart.
The signal is weak (56% probability) and conflicts with bullish trends on lower and daily timeframes.
Watch the 0.03142 support level; a break below it strengthens the bearish case.
Resistance at 0.03307 is the immediate upside barrier if the sell signal fails.

The 2H SELL signal on ETH/BTC is driven by a cluster of momentum and candlestick indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, QQE Midline Cross Up, and a Northern Doji, Bearish Harami Cross, and Tweezers Top. This confluence suggests short-term bearish pressure, but the signal's weak strength and 56% probability indicate limited conviction. The broader trend context is mixed: lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bullish with solid trends, while the 2H and 4H are choppy/sideways, and the 8H is bearish. This misalignment reduces the reliability of the sell signal, as it may be a counter-trend pullback within a larger bullish structure. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.03307 and support at 0.03142; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold above could see the pullback fade.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, HT PHASOR) all crossing down.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Northern Doji, Bearish Harami Cross, Tweezers Top) at a potential local top.
▼ 8H timeframe is bearish, providing some longer-term alignment with the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Bullish trend on 15m, 30m, 1h, and 1d timeframes could override the weak 2H sell signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak and probability only 56%, indicating low conviction.
▲ If price holds above support at 0.03142 and resumes higher, the sell signal would be invalidated.
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up and HT SINE Zero Cross Up are actually bullish signals, conflicting with the bearish bias.