ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-25 10:30 UTC 1 day ago

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.6 % vs 37.1 % average · stopped out 32.1 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 716 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.15
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.02
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.98
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	0.94
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.91
▼	Bearish Doji Star	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term overbought signals on the 30m chart suggest a potential pullback.
Higher timeframes (1d, 12h) remain bullish, so the sell signal may be a minor correction.
Watch the 0.03176 support: a break could confirm bearish momentum.
Signal strength is weak (55% probability), so treat with caution.

The SELL signal on ETH/BTC's 30-minute chart is driven by a cluster of overbought and reversal indicators, including HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, KDJ OB Entry, RSX OB Entry, STC Level Cross Up, and several bearish candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line, Bearish Doji Star). These suggest that the recent upward momentum may be stalling, with a potential pullback toward the nearest support at 0.03176. However, the trend across higher timeframes is predominantly bullish, with the 1-day showing a solid uptrend and the 12-hour also bullish. This creates a conflicting picture: the short-term overbought signals could lead to a minor correction, but the broader trend still favors upside. The weak strength and 55% probability underscore the tentative nature of this bearish signal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.03206 and support at 0.03176. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while holding above it could allow the bullish trend to resume. The mixed trend alignment (bullish on higher timeframes, bearish on 4h/8h) adds uncertainty, so traders should exercise caution. The signal's weak strength suggests it may be a short-term pullback rather than a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought indicators (KDJ, RSX) align with bearish candlestick patterns.
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down adds technical confluence.
▼ Bearish Doji Star and Takuri Line suggest exhaustion of buying pressure.
▼ Nearest resistance at 0.03206 is nearby, providing a potential rejection zone.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (1d, 12h) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The signal is weak (55% probability) and may fail to produce a significant move.
▲ If price holds above support and breaks resistance, the sell signal would be invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 2h, 4h, and 8h add uncertainty to direction.