ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-25 15:00 UTC 1 hour ago

39.7 % ↓ −24.1 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (4.97) ▼ Bearish 86 % (30.34)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 22.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 18.5 % vs 37.4 % average · stopped out 32.3 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 675 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 15:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.90
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicator confirmations.
Higher timeframes remain bullish, creating a conflict between short-term and long-term trends.
Key support at 2667.33 and resistance at 2702.21 define the immediate trading range.
Watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish move or a bounce to signal a false breakdown.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including an AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, and AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, alongside BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and retreats in DEMA, EMA, and MAMA PRICE. This confluence indicates a decisive shift in short-term momentum, with sellers gaining control and price likely to test nearby support levels. However, the broader trend remains predominantly bullish across higher timeframes, with the 1-day chart showing a very strong uptrend (4/5) and all timeframes from 1h upward still bullish, albeit choppy or trend-forming. This creates a classic conflict between short-term bearish momentum and longer-term bullish structure.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 2702.21 and support at 2667.33. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could trigger further downside, while a bounce off support would reinforce the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The 30-minute trend is rated bearish but choppy (1/5), indicating that momentum is strong but not yet fully established. Traders should monitor whether the bearish signals persist and whether price can hold above the 1-hour bullish trend, which could invalidate the short-term bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (AROON, BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, EMA, MAMA) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend and AROONOSC Zero Cross Down confirm strong downward momentum.
▼ Price retreating from resistance levels, aligning with short-term bearish pressure.
▼ High signal strength (very_strong) and probability (100%) in the signal engine.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1h to 1d) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The 30-minute trend is rated as choppy/sideways, indicating potential for false signals or reversals.
▲ A bounce from support at 2667.33 could invalidate the bearish setup and resume the larger uptrend.
▲ Momentum may fade if price fails to break below support, leading to a consolidation phase.