LUN/CUSDT – 2H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-09-24 22:00 UTC 1 day ago

46.5 % ↑ +10.6 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 35 % (3.56) ▼ Bearish 65 % (6.67)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 31.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 14 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 18.5 % vs 37.4 % average · stopped out 32.3 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 675 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.16
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.94
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.21
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.18
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.73

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum indicators on the 2H chart are flashing bearish, suggesting a potential pullback.
The higher timeframes (1H and above) remain bullish, so this may be a short-term correction within an uptrend.
Key levels: resistance at 0.00006 and support at 0.00005; watch for a break of support to confirm the bearish move.
Signal probability is 69% with moderate strength, so position sizing should reflect some uncertainty.

The 2H chart for LUN/CUSDT has triggered a cluster of bearish momentum signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, DPO Zero Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and HMA Direction Down. These indicators collectively suggest that buying pressure is fading and that the asset is likely to pull back from recent highs. The confluence of multiple overbought exits and momentum crossovers points to a short-term bearish reversal, with a moderate probability of 69%.

However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bullish, with the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 1D all showing bullish trend-forming conditions. This creates a conflict: the immediate momentum is bearish, but the larger trend is still upward. The nearest resistance at 0.00006 and support at 0.00005 are key levels to watch. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a bounce from support could invalidate the signal and resume the uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR) and momentum crossovers (STOCHF, BOP) strengthens the bearish case.
▼ The 2H timeframe shows a clear shift in momentum, with HMA direction turning down.
▼ The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bearish, providing short-term confirmation.
▼ The proximity of resistance at 0.00006 may cap upside and encourage selling.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) are all bullish, which could override the bearish signal and lead to a continuation upward.
▲ The 69% probability and moderate strength indicate that the signal is not extremely strong; false signals are possible.
▲ If price holds above support at 0.00005 and bounces, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
▲ The choppy/sideways conditions on the 15m and 30m timeframes suggest that the market may not move cleanly in one direction.