LUN/CUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
38.0 % ↓ −1.0 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 30 % (2.65) ▼ Bearish 70 % (6.05)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 10.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 37.4 % average · stopped out 52.5 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 1,216 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
LUN/CUSDT  ·  30M
Loading…
Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 11%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.42
▲ AO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.24
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 1.17
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals on the 30m chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the overall trend is bullish across all timeframes.
  • Watch the 0.00005 support; a break below could signal a deeper correction, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
  • The signal is moderate strength, so consider it a tactical opportunity rather than a major reversal.
  • Conflicting timeframes (bullish higher TFs vs bearish lower TF) mean use tight stops and manage risk carefully.
The 30-minute chart for LUN/CUSDT has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside candlestick patterns like a Bearish Harami Cross and a Gapping Down Doji. These signals suggest a short-term loss of upside momentum and a possible pullback toward the nearest support at 0.00005. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, albeit mostly choppy/sideways, with higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 1d) showing trend formation. This creates a conflict: the immediate bearish signals may represent a corrective move within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00006 and support at 0.00005. A break below support would likely invalidate the bullish structure and could accelerate selling, while a bounce off support might resume the uptrend. Given the moderate strength and 69% probability, traders should treat this as a tactical short-term opportunity, not a trend change. The mixed signals—bearish on the 30m but bullish on higher timeframes—warrant caution and tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCH, HMA, candlestick patterns) align on the 30m chart, increasing conviction.
  • ▼ The 30m timeframe is the primary signal, and its bearish momentum may dominate short-term price action.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.00006 is nearby, providing a logical level for sellers to defend.
  • ▼ The bearish signals occur after a period of choppy/sideways price action, which often precedes a directional move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 1d) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a rally.
  • ▲ The overall trend is bullish, so the bearish signals may only be a pullback; a bounce off support could invalidate the short setup.
  • ▲ Momentum indicators like AO and KST are still positive (AO Zero Cross Up, KST Signal Cross Up), suggesting underlying bullish pressure.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the 0.00006 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated, and a continuation higher is likely.
Symbol LUN/CUSDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-25 09:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00006 2026-09-24
R2 0.00006 2026-09-23
S1 0.00005 2026-09-25
S2 0.00005 2026-09-24
S3 0.00005 2026-09-23

Tags

Similar Signals