SOL/BTC – 4H – BUY
BUY 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
46.5 %
↑ +3.7 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (15.13)
▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 32.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 8 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(26 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Momentum Regular Bull Div | divergence | 3.14 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.80 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.23 |
| ▼ | Bearish Doji Star | candlestick | 0.66 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPVery strong trend
1HUPExtremely strong trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish confluence: ALMA retreat, doji patterns, and momentum divergence all point to upward continuation.
- All timeframes are bullish, with the strongest trend on the 1H (5/5) supporting the 4H signal.
- Key support at 0.00134 is the line in the sand; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
- No immediate resistance is defined, so upside targets are open but require careful risk management.
The SOL/BTC 4H chart has fired a confluence of bullish signals: an ALMA Retreat Up indicates price pulled back to the adaptive moving average and is now resuming upward momentum, while the Northern Doji and Bearish Doji Star suggest a brief pause or indecision in the sell-off, often preceding a continuation higher. Momentum Regular Bull Div adds further weight, showing that downside momentum is waning even as price makes a lower low, a classic precursor to a reversal or acceleration upward. With all timeframes aligned bullish—from the 15m to the 1D—the trend structure is supportive, and the 95% probability with very strong strength underscores the conviction behind this setup.
Traders should watch the nearest support at 0.00134 as the key invalidation level; as long as price holds above this, the bullish bias remains intact. The absence of a defined nearest resistance suggests room to run, but the lack of a clear ceiling also means that upside targets are less defined, so traders should manage risk accordingly. The alignment across multiple timeframes, especially the extremely strong 1H trend, reinforces the signal, but the lower timeframe trend scores (15m and 4H at 2/5) indicate that the move is still in its early stages, so patience and confirmation on higher closes are advisable.
Traders should watch the nearest support at 0.00134 as the key invalidation level; as long as price holds above this, the bullish bias remains intact. The absence of a defined nearest resistance suggests room to run, but the lack of a clear ceiling also means that upside targets are less defined, so traders should manage risk accordingly. The alignment across multiple timeframes, especially the extremely strong 1H trend, reinforces the signal, but the lower timeframe trend scores (15m and 4H at 2/5) indicate that the move is still in its early stages, so patience and confirmation on higher closes are advisable.
Catalysts
- ▲ Momentum Regular Bull Div indicates fading downside pressure, a classic reversal signal.
- ▲ ALMA Retreat Up shows price pulling back to the moving average and resuming the uptrend.
- ▲ All timeframes (15m to 1D) are bullish, with the 1H showing extremely strong trend (5/5).
- ▲ Doji patterns suggest a pause in selling, often leading to a continuation higher.
Risk Factors
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.00134 would invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ Lower timeframe trend scores (15m and 4H at 2/5) suggest the trend is still forming, so momentum could stall.
- ▼ The absence of a defined resistance level means upside targets are unclear, increasing uncertainty.
- ▼ If the broader market turns bearish, the bullish divergence could fail to play out.
Symbol
SOL/BTC
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
32%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-25 20:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.00134 | 2026-09-23 |
| S2 | 0.00128 | 2026-09-16 |