BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
47.1 %
↓ −20.0 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.14)
▼ Bearish 97 % (37.69)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 33.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
7 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 10.9 %
vs 36.7 % average ·
stopped out 42.1 %
vs 21.3 %
(Crypto, 732 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(27 Sep 2026, 14:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CTI OB Exit | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▼ | Closing Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple overbought and momentum indicators have turned bearish on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a short-term pullback.
- The broader trend remains bullish, with solid uptrends on the 30-minute, 12-hour, and daily timeframes.
- Key levels to watch: support at 83,838 and resistance at 85,255.
- The bearish signal is likely a correction within a larger uptrend, so traders should be cautious about chasing the downside.
The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Overbought Exit, MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR Overbought Exit, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, CTI Overbought Exit, and KDJ Cross Down, among others. This suggests a short-term pullback is underway after a period of overbought conditions. However, the broader trend remains bullish, with the 30-minute, 12-hour, and daily timeframes all showing solid uptrends (3/5 strength). The 1-hour through 4-hour timeframes are choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum at the intermediate levels. This bearish signal is likely a corrective move within a larger bullish structure, and traders should watch how price reacts at the nearest support at 83,838 and resistance at 85,255.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, MACD, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS, CTI, KDJ) all turning bearish on the 30-minute chart.
- ▼ Overbought conditions on multiple oscillators (CCI, WILLR, CTI) have resolved, providing room for downside.
- ▼ The signal aligns with a bearish candlestick pattern, adding confirmation.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The higher timeframes (30m, 12h, 1d) are still bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a quick reversal.
- ▲ The nearest support at 83,838 is a strong level that may hold, invalidating the bearish move.
- ▲ The 1-hour through 4-hour timeframes are choppy, suggesting a lack of clear direction and potential for sideways movement.
- ▲ If the price breaks above the nearest resistance at 85,255, the bearish signal would be negated.
Symbol
BTC/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
34%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-27 14:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 85,255.00000 | 2026-09-25 |
| S1 | 83,838.00000 | 2026-09-26 |
| S2 | 83,183.00000 | 2026-09-25 |
| S3 | 82,874.93000 | 2026-09-24 |