BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-26 22:30 UTC 45 minutes ago

35.9 % ↓ −18.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +1% Scalping

▲ Bullish 37 % (6.36) ▼ Bearish 63 % (10.63)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 4.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.3 % vs 37.1 % average · stopped out 42.5 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 699 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Sep 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.42
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.05
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.90
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.76
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish.
Key support at 83856.23 and resistance at 84336.96 define the immediate range.
The Golden Cross on the 50/200 EMA indicates long-term bullish structure, but short-term momentum is fading.
Weak signal strength suggests the bearish move may be limited, so watch for support holding.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and KDJ OB Exit, alongside an EMA Cross 50 200 Golden Cross and SMA 200 Retreat Down. This suggests that while the longer-term moving averages remain bullish, the short-term momentum is turning lower. The confluence of these signals points to a likely pullback or consolidation phase, with the nearest support at 83856.23 and resistance at 84336.96.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish, with solid trends on the 12-hour and daily charts, but the 30-minute and other intraday timeframes are choppy and sideways. The bearish signals on the 30-minute are in contrast to the broader bullish trend, indicating this may be a short-term correction within a larger uptrend. The weak strength and moderate probability (62%) suggest limited downside potential, and traders should watch the support level for a potential bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (WILLR, KDJ) align to indicate momentum exhaustion.
▼ BOP and ER cross down confirm selling pressure in the short term.
▼ The 30-minute bearish signals occur within a broader bullish trend, which may lead to a healthy correction.
▼ SMA 200 retreat down adds to the bearish case on the short timeframe.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframe trends (12h, 1d) are solidly bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signals.
▲ The Golden Cross on the 50/200 EMA is a bullish signal that may limit downside.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 84336.96, the bearish scenario is invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes could lead to false signals and whipsaws.