AUD/USD – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-28 00:00 UTC 19 hours ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +13% Position

▲ Bullish 14 % (6.25) ▼ Bearish 86 % (39.83)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.42
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.41
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.09
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.85
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.69
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	1.44
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.39
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.34
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.34
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.19
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.90
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.80
▼	Falling Window	candlestick	0.55

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the daily chart, with 86% probability, suggests high-confidence selling pressure.
All timeframes align bearish, with the 1H to 12H charts showing solid trends, reinforcing the downside bias.
The nearest support at 0.69218 is the key level to watch; a break could accelerate declines, while a hold might trigger a bounce.
The dense set of indicators (APO, CMO, MACD, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) confirms broad-based momentum weakness.

The AUD/USD daily chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by APO, CMO, and MACD zero-cross downs, an RSI midline cross down, and a WILLR oversold entry, alongside a BBANDS lower breakdown. This broad-based momentum and trend confirmation points to sustained selling pressure, with the 86% probability and 'very strong' strength reflecting unusually high signal convergence. The bearish alignment across all monitored timeframes—from 15-minute to daily—reinforces the conviction, though the shorter timeframes show only forming trends while the 1H to 12H charts are solid, suggesting the move is well-established in the medium term but still developing on the lower end.

Key levels to watch: the nearest support sits at 0.69218, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this level could open the door to further declines, while a failure to hold would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, any bounce would likely face resistance from the broken Bollinger Band and prior support-turned-resistance zones. Traders should monitor price action around 0.69218 for confirmation or reversal signals.

Catalysts

▼ Overwhelming confluence of bearish momentum oscillators (APO, CMO, MACD, RSI) all crossing below their midlines.
▼ WILLR oversold entry and BBANDS lower breakdown indicate strong downside momentum and potential trend acceleration.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on the 1H to 12H charts, supports continuation.
▼ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with an 86% probability, reflecting high historical reliability of such clusters.

Risk Factors

▲ The nearest support at 0.69218 could act as a floor, causing a bounce that invalidates the bearish move.
▲ Daily trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the higher timeframe is not yet fully established, leaving room for reversal.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS) might trigger a technical rebound, especially if the price fails to break support.
▲ A break back above the broken Bollinger Band or a daily close above the prior support could signal a false breakdown.