BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-29 19:00 UTC 1 hour ago

39.0 % ↑ +1.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 22 % (7.34) ▼ Bearish 78 % (26.25)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 13.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 19:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.41
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.12
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart point to short-term downside momentum.
The 1H, 2H, and 4H charts are bearish but choppy, indicating the trend is not yet fully established.
Key support at 82775.94 is the line in the sand; a break below confirms the bearish signal.
Longer timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, so this may be a pullback within an uptrend.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and a STOCHF KD Cross Down, alongside retreats from the EMA 200, a higher-timeframe trendline, and the moving average. This confluence of momentum and trend indicators points to a loss of upside momentum and a shift toward selling pressure on the 30-minute timeframe. The bearish alignment is supported by the 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour charts, which are all bearish, albeit choppy/sideways, suggesting that downside momentum is building but not yet fully mature.

However, the longer-term picture remains bullish, with the daily chart in a solid uptrend and the 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes also bullish. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the longer-term bullish trend. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 82775.94, which aligns with the lower boundary of the recent range; a break below this level would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to further declines. Conversely, a rebound from this support would signal that the bullish longer-term trend is still intact. The 30-minute chart is the primary timeframe for this signal, and traders should watch for a close below the support to validate the bearish move.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, EMA, MA) all turning bearish.
▼ Bearish alignment across the 30M, 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, even if choppy.
▼ Retreat from the EMA 200 and a higher-timeframe trendline suggests key dynamic resistance is holding.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (78%) add conviction to the bearish setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily chart is in a solid uptrend, which could overpower short-term bearish signals and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 30-minute bearish trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating the trend is not yet mature and could fail.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 84563.99 would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest the pullback is over.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 1H-4H timeframes may lead to false signals or range-bound movement.