EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-29 23:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 10 % (3.19) ▼ Bearish 90 % (27.23)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 4.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.19
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.12

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 30M with 88% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators align: BOP, stochastic, and retreats from key moving averages and trendlines.
Trend is bearish across higher timeframes, supporting further downside.
Key support at 178.19500; a break could accelerate selling, while resistance at 179.12900 caps upside.

The EUR/JPY pair is exhibiting a strong bearish signal on the 30-minute timeframe, with an 88% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicators—including the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and retreats from key moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA) and trendlines—points to robust selling pressure. This signal aligns with a broader bearish trend across higher timeframes, from 1-hour up to the daily, which strengthens the case for continued downside. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 178.19500, a break of which could open the path for further declines. The 15-minute chart shows a choppy, sideways bias, suggesting potential short-term consolidation, but the overall trend structure favors bearish continuation.

Traders should monitor the price action around the support level. A decisive break below 178.19500 would confirm the bearish momentum and likely attract more sellers. Conversely, a bounce from this level could lead to a retest of the resistance at 179.12900. Given the strong alignment across timeframes, any pullback toward the resistance zone may be viewed as a selling opportunity, provided the broader trend remains intact. However, it is crucial to watch for any signs of reversal, such as a bullish engulfing pattern or a break above the resistance, which could invalidate the bearish thesis.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish alignment across multiple timeframes (1H to 1D) reinforces the signal.
▼ Confluence of several indicator types (momentum, trend, and price) increases signal reliability.
▼ Price retreating from moving averages and trendlines suggests strong selling interest.
▼ High probability and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the move.

Risk Factors

▲ 15-minute chart is choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term whipsaws.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 179.12900 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If the support at 178.19500 holds, a bounce could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Overbought conditions may lead to a temporary pullback, but the trend remains bearish.