AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-28 02:00 UTC 17 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −18.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +44% Intraday

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.45) ▼ Bearish 95 % (28.06)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 12.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 9 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.89
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.31
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.29
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.05
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (Death Cross, KST, APO, MAMA) align on the 2H chart, confirming a strong downtrend.
All timeframes show bearish bias, with the 15m and 30m leading the move; higher timeframes are still forming.
Resistance at 0.71358 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish case.
Oversold indicators (CTI, KDJ, RSX) may trigger a bounce, but the trend remains down.

The AUD/USD 2H chart has triggered a cluster of bearish momentum and trend signals, including an APO Zero Cross Down, MAMA Cross Down, SMA 20/50 Death Cross, and KST Zero Cross Down, alongside oversold entries from CTI, KDJ, and RSX, and a QQE Midline Cross Down. This confluence indicates a strong shift toward bearish momentum, with the Death Cross confirming a medium-term downtrend. The alignment across timeframes—from 15m (very strong) down to 1d (forming)—shows a consistent bearish bias, though the higher timeframes are still in the early stages of trend development, suggesting the move may be in its infancy.

Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 0.71358, which aligns with the recent swing high and the 20-period SMA, providing a clear invalidation zone. Since no nearest support is defined, traders should monitor the recent lows for potential support or use the 4H structure. The oversold conditions from CTI, KDJ, and RSX could lead to a short-term bounce, but the overall momentum and trend alignment favor continued downside. A break above 0.71358 would negate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators all pointing down.
▼ Strong alignment across timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing solid bearish trends.
▼ Death Cross on SMA 20/50 adds medium-term bearish confirmation.
▼ KST and QQE midline crosses indicate sustained downside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Oversold conditions (CTI, KDJ, RSX) could lead to a short-term bounce, pausing the downtrend.
▲ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are only 'forming' trends, so they may not yet support a sustained move.
▲ A break above resistance at 0.71358 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If momentum fades and price consolidates, the signal may lose strength.