ETH/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-09-28 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

47.1 % ↓ −14.1 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 78 % (14.08) ▼ Bearish 22 % (3.91)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 34.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.5 % vs 36.3 % average · stopped out 31.3 % vs 21.4 % (Crypto, 805 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.07
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.90
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.78
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.33
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.21

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful short-term buy signal fired with eight oversold-exit and momentum indicators aligning on the 30-minute chart.
The bounce is counter-trend: lower timeframes (15m to 8h) are bearish, so the upside may be limited to the nearest resistance at 2703.51.
Watch for a breakout above 2703.51 to confirm a shift in momentum; otherwise, the bounce could fade.
The daily and 12-hour timeframes are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for a potential longer-term recovery.

The ETH/USDT 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of eight oversold-exit and momentum-reversal indicators, including CCI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, TEMA Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, and HMA Retreat Up. This confluence suggests that the short-term bearish pressure is exhausting and that a rebound attempt is underway. The signal probability is 100% with very strong strength, driven by the simultaneous firing of multiple oscillators exiting oversold territory and momentum shifting upward.

However, the higher-timeframe trend is predominantly bearish across the 15-minute through 8-hour charts, with only the 12-hour and daily charts showing bullish momentum. This creates a conflicting picture: the short-term bounce is counter-trend relative to the lower and mid-term timeframes. The immediate resistance sits at 2703.51, which aligns with the daily pivot and previous support-turned-resistance. A decisive break above this level would be needed to shift the medium-term bias, while a failure to hold the rebound could see a retest of recent lows. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a broader bearish structure, expecting limited upside unless higher timeframes turn bullish.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (CCI, STOCHRSI, WILLR) exiting oversold simultaneously, indicating strong buying interest at current levels.
▲ Bullish crossovers on TEMA, HMA, and momentum indicators (SMI, ERI) reinforce the reversal signal.
▲ The daily timeframe is in a solid uptrend, which could provide a foundation for the short-term bounce to extend.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across 15m to 8h timeframes may overpower the short-term bounce, leading to a failed rally.
▼ If the price fails to hold above the recent lows and drops below the local support, the entire reversal signal would be invalidated.
▼ Resistance at 2703.51 is a key hurdle; a rejection there could trigger renewed selling pressure.
▼ Momentum signals on the higher timeframes are still weak (2/5 or 1/5 trend scores), suggesting that the bearish trend may resume.