EUR/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-09-28 04:00 UTC 19 hours ago

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +16% Intraday

▲ Bullish 94 % (39.73) ▼ Bearish 6 % (2.41)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 94.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 10 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.72
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.61
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.61
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.43
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.32
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	2.19
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	2.15
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.10
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.03
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.31
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.22
▼	RSI OB Entry	indicator	0.97
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 2H chart with multiple moving-average retreats and a trendline break.
All timeframes are bullish, but higher timeframes are still choppy, suggesting the trend is forming.
Watch resistance at 1.61364 and support at 1.60433 for breakout or reversal confirmation.
RSI overbought entry indicates strong momentum, but also potential for short-term pullback.

The EUR/CAD 2H chart has triggered a very strong bullish signal, with a confluence of trendline breaks and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) confirming upward momentum. The RSI overbought entry suggests sustained buying pressure, though it also warns of potential short-term exhaustion. The signal is supported by a bullish alignment across all timeframes, from the 15-minute to the daily, with lower timeframes (15m, 30m) showing solid trends and higher timeframes (1H to 1D) in earlier stages of trend formation. This multi-timeframe agreement strengthens the bullish case.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.61364 and support at 1.60433. A break above resistance could open the path for further upside, while a hold above support would maintain the bullish structure. However, the higher timeframes (2H and above) are still choppy/sideways, indicating that the trend is not fully established. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a failure to hold support or a rejection at resistance could signal a reversal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of trendline break and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) on the 2H chart.
▲ Bullish alignment across all timeframes, with lower timeframes showing solid trends.
▲ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with 94% probability, indicating high confidence.

Risk Factors

▼ RSI overbought condition could lead to a pullback or consolidation before further upside.
▼ Higher timeframes (2H and above) are still choppy/sideways, which may limit trend persistence.
▼ A break below support at 1.60433 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Nearby resistance at 1.61364 could cap upside if not broken with conviction.