EUR/CAD – 8H – BUY
BUY 1× UPDATED
19 hours ago
39.7 %
↓ −19.6 zur Vorkerze
WEAK
Swing
▲ Bullish 89 % (18.78)
▼ Bearish 11 % (2.22)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
50.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 28.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(29 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▲ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.13 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 0.96 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.69 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong 8H bullish signal with 84% probability and a wide array of confirming indicators.
- Trend is bullish across most timeframes, but lower timeframes are bearish/choppy—expect potential short-term pullbacks.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 1.61176 and support at 1.59998 for breakout or invalidation.
- The Golden Cross and multiple moving-average retreat-ups signal a shift in momentum that could lead to a sustained move.
The EUR/CAD 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMAs, multiple moving-average retreat-ups (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA), a BOP Zero Cross Up, and an STOCHRSI KD Cross Up. The breadth of the signal — more than a dozen confirming triggers across trend and momentum groups — points to a broad-based shift in buying pressure on the 8H timeframe. The trend structure shows a consistent bullish tilt from the 1H up through the daily, with the 1H and 2H timeframes already in a 'trend forming' state, while the 8H and higher are bullish but choppy. This suggests the move is still in early development, and the confluence of indicators on the 8H could be the catalyst for a more sustained advance.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.61176 and support at 1.59998. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and open the path toward higher targets, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the setup. The lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are bearish and choppy, which could cause short-term pullbacks, but the higher-timeframe alignment supports the bullish bias. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.61176 and support at 1.59998. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and open the path toward higher targets, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the setup. The lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are bearish and choppy, which could cause short-term pullbacks, but the higher-timeframe alignment supports the bullish bias. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
- ▲ Golden Cross on 20/50 EMAs, a classic bullish trend-change signal.
- ▲ Multiple moving-average retreat-ups (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all pointing up, indicating strong underlying momentum.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirm buying pressure and momentum shift.
- ▲ Trend alignment across 1H to 1D timeframes supports the bullish outlook.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish and choppy, which could trigger short-term pullbacks that delay the move.
- ▼ The 8H and higher timeframes are bullish but choppy, suggesting the trend is not yet fully established.
- ▼ A close below the nearest support at 1.59998 would invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ Fading momentum if the STOCHRSI or BOP indicators turn down before price breaks resistance.
Symbol
EUR/CAD
Timeframe
8H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
28%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-28 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.61176 | 2026-09-11 |
| R2 | 1.61855 | 2026-08-26 |
| R3 | 1.62476 | 2026-08-05 |
| S1 | 1.59998 | 2026-09-08 |