EUR/CAD – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
19 hours ago
39.7 % ↓ −19.6 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 89 % (18.78) ▼ Bearish 11 % (2.22)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
50.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 28.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
EUR/CAD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 8h 28%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.34
▲ EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 1.96
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.92
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.59
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.53
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.31
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.30
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.19
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.13
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.12
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.11
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.11
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 0.96
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.69

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong 8H bullish signal with 84% probability and a wide array of confirming indicators.
  • Trend is bullish across most timeframes, but lower timeframes are bearish/choppy—expect potential short-term pullbacks.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.61176 and support at 1.59998 for breakout or invalidation.
  • The Golden Cross and multiple moving-average retreat-ups signal a shift in momentum that could lead to a sustained move.
The EUR/CAD 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMAs, multiple moving-average retreat-ups (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA), a BOP Zero Cross Up, and an STOCHRSI KD Cross Up. The breadth of the signal — more than a dozen confirming triggers across trend and momentum groups — points to a broad-based shift in buying pressure on the 8H timeframe. The trend structure shows a consistent bullish tilt from the 1H up through the daily, with the 1H and 2H timeframes already in a 'trend forming' state, while the 8H and higher are bullish but choppy. This suggests the move is still in early development, and the confluence of indicators on the 8H could be the catalyst for a more sustained advance.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.61176 and support at 1.59998. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and open the path toward higher targets, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the setup. The lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are bearish and choppy, which could cause short-term pullbacks, but the higher-timeframe alignment supports the bullish bias. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Golden Cross on 20/50 EMAs, a classic bullish trend-change signal.
  • ▲ Multiple moving-average retreat-ups (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all pointing up, indicating strong underlying momentum.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirm buying pressure and momentum shift.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 1H to 1D timeframes supports the bullish outlook.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish and choppy, which could trigger short-term pullbacks that delay the move.
  • ▼ The 8H and higher timeframes are bullish but choppy, suggesting the trend is not yet fully established.
  • ▼ A close below the nearest support at 1.59998 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • ▼ Fading momentum if the STOCHRSI or BOP indicators turn down before price breaks resistance.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 28%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-28 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61176 2026-09-11
R2 1.61855 2026-08-26
R3 1.62476 2026-08-05
S1 1.59998 2026-09-08

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