EUR/CHF – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED

2026-09-28 02:00 UTC 17 hours ago

61.0 % ↑ +19.3 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +24% Intraday

▲ Bullish 96 % (58.46) ▼ Bearish 4 % (2.21)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 96.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 9 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.95
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.92
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.50
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	2.39
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.16
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.15
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	SMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.11
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	1.87
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.80
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	Three Outside Up	candlestick	1.08
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.07
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.87

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 2H, with multiple indicators confirming an upward reversal from oversold conditions.
Resistance at 0.94764 is the immediate target; breaking it could shift the higher timeframe bias.
Support at 0.94308 is the invalidation level—losing it would negate the buy signal.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are still bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade with limited upside unless resistance breaks.

The EUR/CHF 2H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 98% probability and very strong strength, backed by a broad cluster of momentum, volatility, and trend indicators. The ADXR confirms a strong trend, while the CCI OS Exit, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry all point to a fresh upward push from oversold conditions. The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and EMA 200 Break Up add further confirmation, suggesting that price is bouncing off the lower band and reclaiming a key moving average. This confluence across multiple signal groups—indicator, Fibonacci, and candlestick—reinforces the bullish case.

However, the higher timeframes are not fully aligned. The 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1d are bullish, but the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h are still bearish, with the 1h and 2h showing solid downtrends. This divergence means the buy signal is a counter-trend move against the intermediate-term bias. The nearest resistance at 0.94764 is a key hurdle; a break above it could signal a shift in the higher timeframe trend, while the nearest support at 0.94308 is the critical level to hold. If price fails to sustain above support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.

Catalysts

▲ Overwhelming indicator confluence: ADXR, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, WILLR, BBANDS, and EMA 200 all align bullishly.
▲ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add extra confirmation to the signal.
▲ Price is bouncing off the lower Bollinger Band and reclaiming the EMA 200, a classic bullish reversal setup.
▲ Longer-term timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, suggesting the broader trend may be turning up.

Risk Factors

▼ Intermediate timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H, 4H) are still bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a false breakout.
▼ If price fails to break above 0.94764, the bullish momentum could fade and reverse.
▼ A drop below 0.94308 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a deeper pullback.
▼ The 15M timeframe is choppy, indicating a lack of clear short-term direction that could cause whipsaws.