EUR/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-09-28 04:00 UTC 19 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 13 % (4.42) ▼ Bearish 87 % (29.15)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 10 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.51
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.74
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.33
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.28
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart: multiple moving averages, BOP, WILLR, and trendline all align lower.
Immediate downside target is support at 0.94308; resistance at 0.94764 is the key invalidation level.
Higher timeframes (8H and above) remain bullish, so this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Watch for a break of 0.94308 to confirm the sell, but be ready for a bounce if support holds.

The EUR/CHF 2H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, WILLR exiting overbought, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA), alongside a higher-timeframe trendline retreat and a shift in the higher-timeframe trend mode to cycle. This confluence suggests a coordinated pullback within the 2H timeframe, which is currently showing a solid bearish trend (3/5). The immediate bias is to the downside, targeting the nearest support at 0.94308, with a break below that opening the door for further declines. The 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes align bearishly, reinforcing the short-term momentum, though the 15-minute is choppy and bullish, which could cause minor bounces.

However, the broader picture is mixed: higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are still bullish and trend-forming, which could limit the depth of this pullback. The 4H is bearish but choppy, lacking strong momentum. For the sell signal to play out, price needs to hold below the nearest resistance at 0.94764; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should watch for a decisive break of 0.94308 to confirm the move, but be cautious of a potential bounce from that support given the bullish higher-timeframe context.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA) all retreating, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and WILLR overbought exit signal weakening buying pressure.
▼ Higher-timeframe trendline retreat and trend mode shift to cycle add confluence.
▼ Alignment of 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes all bearish supports the short-term trend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish and trend-forming, which could cap downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ Nearest support at 0.94308 is a strong level; a bounce there would invalidate the sell signal.
▲ 15-minute timeframe is bullish and choppy, indicating possible short-term counter-trend bounces.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.94764, the bearish setup is negated, and the trend may resume upward.