GBP/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-09-28 20:00 UTC 19 hours ago

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.33) ▼ Bearish 94 % (22.54)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 94.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 5 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.29
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.74
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.53
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.33
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.19
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.11
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.96
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.62

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 4H, with a broad set of trend and momentum indicators aligned.
Multiple 'Retreat Down' signals indicate price is pulling back from highs, supporting downside.
Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) all show solid bearish trends, adding confluence.
Watch the 207.86400 support; a break could extend the decline, while 211.27300 is the key resistance to reclaim.

The GBP/JPY 4H signal is strongly bearish, backed by a broad array of momentum and trend-following indicators. The ADXR Trend Strong confirms a well-established trend, while the multiple 'Retreat Down' signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, and HT TRENDLINE) all indicate that price is pulling back from recent highs, aligning with the bearish direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down adds selling pressure, and the candlestick group reinforces the bearish sentiment.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the 15m and 30m are choppy, suggesting some near-term noise. The trend strengthens from the 1H to the 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D, all showing solid trends, which supports the 4H signal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 211.27300 and support at 207.86400. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with solid trends on higher frames.
▼ Confluence of numerous 'Retreat Down' signals from different moving averages and trendlines.
▼ ADXR Trend Strong confirms the strength of the prevailing trend.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying/selling pressure toward sellers.

Risk Factors

▲ Near-term choppiness on 15m and 30m could lead to false breakdowns or whipsaws.
▲ If price reclaims and holds above the 211.27300 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 'Retreat Down' signals lose steam, especially if price stalls above support.
▲ A conflicting higher timeframe signal (e.g., a bullish reversal pattern on the daily) could counter the bearish bias.