AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-29 12:00 UTC 21 hours ago

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.39
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.30
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	1.42
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.34
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A heavy cluster of bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart points to a strong sell setup.
All timeframes from 15m to 12h are aligned bearish, reinforcing the sell signal.
Watch the 110.60500 resistance; a break above it would invalidate the bearish bias.
The immediate downside target is 109.90300, with a break below signaling further weakness.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Stochastic Fast KD cross down, a Williams %R oversold entry, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) as well as a higher-timeframe trendline retreat and a MAMA price break down. This confluence indicates that sellers are in control across multiple technical dimensions, with price rejecting resistance and rolling over.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent: 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h all show bearish alignment, with most at a solid trend score of 3/5. The daily timeframe is also bearish but still forming (2/5), suggesting the larger trend is still developing. The nearest resistance at 110.60500 is the key level to watch for a potential bounce, while the nearest support at 109.90300 is the immediate downside target. A break below that support would open the door to further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat.
▼ MAMA price break down adds to the bearish momentum.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes from 15m to 12h.
▼ Strong trend scores (3/5) on most timeframes indicate solid downside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Price may bounce from the nearest support at 109.90300, leading to a short-term pullback.
▲ The daily timeframe is only trend forming (2/5), so the larger trend is not yet fully confirmed.
▲ Stochastic and Williams %R are in oversold territory, which could signal an imminent bounce.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 110.60500 would invalidate the bearish setup.