EUR/CHF – 2H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-09-29 08:00 UTC 20 hours ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 86 % (31.17) ▼ Bearish 14 % (5.14)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 3.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 11 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 17.9 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 173 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.89
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.78
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.63
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.59
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.47
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.46
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.45
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.43
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.30
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.19
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.08
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 2H with 93% probability, driven by multiple retreat-up indicators and a MAMA price break.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bullish trend forming, but shorter timeframes (15m-4h) are still bearish and choppy, creating a mixed picture.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.94764 for breakout confirmation and support at 0.94134 as the invalidation level.
The signal suggests an early bullish reversal attempt; confirmation from lower timeframes is needed for higher confidence.

The EUR/CHF 2H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 93% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of retreat-up signals on multiple indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) and a MAMA PRICE Break Up. This suggests a broad-based upward momentum shift on the 2H timeframe, reinforced by a bullish trend forming on the 12H and 1D timeframes. However, the shorter timeframes (15m to 4h) are still bearish and choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is not yet aligned; the bullish signal on 2H may be an early reversal attempt that needs confirmation from lower timeframes.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.94764 and support at 0.94134. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish breakout and align with the higher timeframe trend, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. The confluence of multiple retreat-up signals and the MAMA price break adds weight to the bullish case, but the conflicting shorter timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels and the 2H trend score for further confirmation.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) indicating broad-based upward momentum.
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up adds a price-based confirmation to the indicator cluster.
▲ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bullish trend forming, supporting the potential for a larger upside move.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability suggest robust alignment among the triggered indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ Shorter timeframes (15m to 4h) are bearish and choppy, which could lead to false breakouts or continued consolidation.
▼ The 2H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating the bullish momentum is not yet fully established.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.94134 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger further downside.
▼ Resistance at 0.94764 may cap upside if price fails to break through, especially given the mixed shorter timeframe trends.