SOL/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-30 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

54.9 % – erste Kerze

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 36 % (4.44) ▼ Bearish 64 % (7.73)

4 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

43.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 63.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 40.8 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 792 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	WMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.33
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.32
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on the 4H chart, but weak strength suggests a shallow pullback.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, so the sell signal may be counter-trend.
Watch support at 112.52; a break could open deeper downside, while a hold may see a bounce.
Resistance at 124.95 caps upside; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish case.

The SELL signal on SOL/USDT's 4H chart is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators crossing lower, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and KST Zero Cross Down, alongside retreats in MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and WMA. Notably, CCI Zero Cross Up and FISHER Zero Cross Up suggest a short-term bounce attempt, but the overall bearish momentum is weak (strength: weak, probability: 63%). This creates a mixed picture: while the 4H timeframe shows bearish signals, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish with solid trend scores, indicating that this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 112.52 and resistance at 124.95. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum and potentially target lower levels, while a hold above support could see the pullback fade and the bullish trend resume. The choppy, sideways action across lower timeframes (15m to 4H) suggests indecision, and the weak signal strength implies limited downside conviction. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the alignment of higher timeframe trends for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, KST) crossing down in sync.
▼ Retreats in MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and WMA confirm a short-term trend reversal.
▼ The 4H signal is supported by a bearish trend score on that timeframe.
▼ The pullback is occurring after a recent up-move, providing a natural correction setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could overpower the 4H bearish signal.
▲ Weak signal strength and low probability reduce conviction; the move may stall.
▲ CCI and FISHER crossing up hint at a possible bounce, which could negate the sell.
▲ A break above resistance at 124.95 would invalidate the bearish scenario.