GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-30 07:30 UTC 54 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (27.90) ▼ Bearish 10 % (2.93)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 9.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 12.6 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 143 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	3.17
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.74
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.61
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.37
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.33
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.36

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 208.29000; a break could open room for further upside, while a rejection may fade the move.
Support at 207.67400 is the key invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.
The DX Trend Weak and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicate the bullish push may lack strong trend confirmation.

The 30-minute chart for GBP/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a CCI Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and DEMA Break Up, alongside a BBANDS Middle Cross Up. However, the DX Trend Weak reading and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicate that the immediate momentum may be strong but not yet fully trend-confirming. The confluence of these indicators suggests a short-term bullish push, but the broader timeframe picture remains bearish, with solid downtrends on the 1H through daily charts. This creates a potential counter-trend bounce scenario where the 30M signal could represent a retracement within a larger downtrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 208.29000 and support at 207.67400. A break above resistance could signal a stronger correction, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish case. Given the conflicting timeframes—bullish on the 15M but bearish on higher timeframes—traders should treat this as a tactical opportunity within a broader downtrend. The high probability (90%) and very strong strength of the signal suggest near-term upside potential, but the higher timeframe trend argues for caution and tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI) crossing above their midlines confirms bullish pressure on the 30M timeframe.
▲ The DEMA and MAMA break ups add weight to the bullish case, suggesting price is moving above dynamic resistance.
▲ The 15M chart is also bullish, providing some intraday alignment with the 30M signal.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and 90% probability indicate high conviction in the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H through daily) are all in solid bearish trends, which could cap any upside and lead to a reversal.
▼ The STOCHRSI KD Cross Down suggests momentum may be waning, potentially limiting the upside.
▼ If price fails to break above 208.29000, the bounce could stall and reverse.
▼ A break below 207.67400 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend.