USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-09-30 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

61.0 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (64.52)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 05:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.44
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.13
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30m chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
Symmetrical Triangle breakdown adds a chart-pattern confirmation to the momentum signals.
Watch the 156.98000 support as the immediate target; a break could accelerate downside.
Higher timeframe bullish trends (12h, 1d) are a caution flag; the invalidation is 157.45800.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown and a wave of momentum oscillators crossing below their zero lines (BOP, CMO) and the RSI crossing down through the 50 midline. The MACD signal cross is up, but this is likely a short-term countertrend bounce within the broader downtrend, as the EMA 50 and KAMA are both retreating lower, confirming the bearish bias. The confluence of these signals across indicator, chart pattern, and candlestick groups suggests a strong short-term selling opportunity.

Trend alignment is mixed but leans bearish on the lower timeframes. The 30m and 15m are both bearish, while the 1h, 2h, and 4h are choppy but still bearish, providing a supportive backdrop. However, the 12h and 1d timeframes are bullish, with the daily showing a solid uptrend (3/5), which poses a potential conflict. The nearest support at 156.98000 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 157.45800 is the key invalidation level if price reclaims it. A break below support could extend the move, but traders should watch for a bounce at the daily bullish trendline.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals across indicator, chart pattern, and candlestick groups.
▼ Momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI) all crossing down, confirming bearish pressure.
▼ EMA 50 and KAMA retreating lower, aligning with the downtrend.
▼ Lower timeframe trends (15m, 30m) are bearish, supporting the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside and cause a reversal.
▲ MACD signal cross up suggests a possible short-term bounce, which may delay the sell.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 157.45800, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 1h-4h timeframes could lead to false breakouts.