GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-09-30 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (4.57) ▼ Bearish 91 % (46.28)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 7.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 05:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	4.22
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals (Descending Triangle, momentum crosses, EMA retreat) on the 30-minute chart points to a strong short-term sell opportunity.
Trend alignment is overwhelmingly bearish from 30 minutes up to the daily timeframe, supporting the bearish bias.
Watch the 207.674 support level; a break below it would confirm continuation, while a reclaim of 208.290 resistance would invalidate the setup.
The 15-minute bullish pullback is still forming and could offer a better entry if it respects the descending triangle pattern.

The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Descending Triangle breakdown and a cascade of momentum crosses (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all turning down, with price retreating below the 50 EMA. This confluence of chart pattern, momentum, and trend indicators points to a strong short-term bearish impulse, and the very strong signal strength (91% probability) underscores the alignment. The bearish bias is confirmed by the broader timeframe structure: all timeframes from 30 minutes up to the daily are bearish, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the higher timeframes, indicating that the short-term move is likely part of a larger downtrend. The 15-minute timeframe shows a nascent bullish pullback, but it is still forming (2/5) and appears to be a countertrend bounce within the dominant bearish context.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 208.290 and support at 207.674. A sustained break below support would confirm the continuation of the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential failure of the bearish setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation. The combination of a high-probability signal, strong trend alignment across multiple timeframes, and clear technical levels provides a coherent bearish narrative, but the ongoing 15-minute bullish correction warrants caution against chasing the move too aggressively.

Catalysts

▼ Descending Triangle breakdown on the 30-minute chart provides a classic bearish continuation pattern.
▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all crossed down, confirming selling pressure.
▼ Price retreating below the 50 EMA reinforces the bearish short-term trend.
▼ Solid bearish trend scores (3/5) on all higher timeframes from 1h to 1d align with the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe is showing a bullish correction that could temporarily push price higher, potentially triggering a false breakdown.
▲ A reclaim of the 208.290 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a potential reversal.
▲ If the Descending Triangle fails to resolve lower, the pattern could become a continuation of a range, leading to choppy price action.
▲ Momentum crosses can produce false signals in ranging markets; watch for a lack of follow-through below support.