USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-09-30 07:30 UTC 54 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 86 % (28.75) ▼ Bearish 14 % (4.57)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 17.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 11.1 % (Forex, 211 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.97
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.83
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.65
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	2.59
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.41
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.35
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.07
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.68
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart points to continued upside momentum.
Immediate upside target is the resistance at 157.45800, with support at 156.98000 as the key invalidation level.
Higher timeframes are mostly bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
The signal strength is very strong (86% probability), but confirmation on higher timeframes is lacking.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and a breakout above the BBANDS middle band. This is reinforced by a DEMA Break Up and an EMA 200 Break Up, suggesting that momentum has shifted decisively to the upside on the intraday timeframe. The confluence of these indicators points to a continuation of the current upward move, with the nearest resistance at 157.45800 serving as the immediate target.

However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. While the daily and 12-hour trends are bullish, the 4-hour, 2-hour, and 1-hour trends remain bearish and choppy, which could limit the upside. The 30-minute trend itself is still listed as bearish, but the strong signal cluster suggests a potential trend reversal. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 156.98000; a break back below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and signal that the move was a false breakout.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, RSI) crossing above their midlines.
▲ Breakouts above the BBANDS middle band, DEMA, and EMA 200 all align to confirm bullish momentum.
▲ The daily and 12-hour trends are bullish, providing longer-term support for the move.
▲ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with an 86% probability, reflecting high conviction.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish, and the 1h, 2h, and 4h trends are bearish/choppy, which could cap upside.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.98000 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The STOCHF KD Cross Down signal indicates short-term overbought conditions that could lead to a pullback.
▼ If the price fails to break resistance at 157.45800, the move may stall and reverse.