SOL/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-09-29 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

67.1 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 8 % (2.09) ▼ Bearish 92 % (23.85)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 91.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 23.7 % vs 36.2 % average · stopped out 24.5 % vs 21.5 % (Crypto, 1,096 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.30
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.45
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum has turned bearish on the 30-minute chart, with multiple overbought exit and cross-down signals firing.
The signal aligns with the 1h-4h bearish trend, but conflicts with the bullish 8h-1d trend, so expect possible choppiness.
Watch the 0.00140 support level; a close below it would strengthen the bearish case, while a move above 0.00142 would invalidate the signal.
The signal is moderate strength with 70% probability, so it is not a high-conviction setup; manage risk accordingly.

The 30-minute SELL signal on SOL/BTC is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators flipping bearish: BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, KAMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, ER Level Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down. This suggests that the recent upside push has stalled and that sellers are stepping in on the shorter timeframe. The signal's moderate strength and 70% probability reflect a coherent bearish shift in momentum, but it is important to note that the immediate trend context is mixed.

Across timeframes, the picture is divided. The 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy, while the 1h, 2h, and 4h are bearish and trend-forming. Meanwhile, the 8h, 12h, and 1d are bullish with solid trends. This creates a conflict: the short-term bearish signal is aligned with the intermediate-term downtrend, but it runs against the higher-timeframe bullish bias. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.00142 and support at 0.00140. A break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, WILLR, KAMA, HT TRENDMODE, ER, KDJ) are aligned in the bearish direction, providing strong confluence.
▼ The bearish signal is supported by the 1h, 2h, and 4h trends, which are all bearish and forming.
▼ The signal occurs after an overbought condition, as indicated by CCI and WILLR overbought exits, which often precede pullbacks.
▼ The nearest support at 0.00140 is close, and a break below could trigger further downside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish with solid trends, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish, though choppy, indicating that the immediate trend is not clearly bearish.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.00142 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the short-term uptrend could resume.
▲ The signal's moderate strength suggests that momentum may fade quickly, especially given the conflicting trend structure.