SOL/BTC – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-09-30 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

38.1 % ↓ −29.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 97 % (17.83) ▼ Bearish 3 % (0.51)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 12.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 23.2 % vs 35.6 % average · stopped out 24.1 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 1,168 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Sep 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.94
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.62
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.53
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.32
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	Above The Stomach	candlestick	1.12
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.11
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold indicators on the 30-minute chart are aligning for a potential bounce.
The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.
Watch the 0.00144 resistance; a break could signal sustained upside.
The 0.00140 support is the invalidation level—if broken, the bullish signal loses credibility.

The 30-minute SOL/BTC chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OS Exit, and retreats from the lower bands of both ACCBANDS and KELTNER. These indicators collectively suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and that buyers are stepping in at oversold conditions. The sheer number of aligned signals, combined with a very strong probability score of 90%, points to a high-confidence short-term bounce setup.

However, the trend structure is mixed. While the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes remain bullish with solid trends, the 15-minute through 4-hour timeframes are all bearish, with the 30-minute itself showing a choppy, sideways trend. This means the buy signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bullish context. The immediate resistance at 0.00144 is the first hurdle; a break above that could open the path toward higher levels. Support at 0.00140 is the critical floor—losing it would invalidate the bullish case and likely trigger further downside.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of oversold signals (STOCH, WILLR, KDJ, ZSCORE) all firing together.
▲ Price retreating from lower Bollinger and Keltner bands, suggesting a mean-reversion opportunity.
▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (8h, 12h, 1d) provide a favorable macro context.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (90%) increase confidence.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15-minute through 4-hour timeframes are bearish, indicating near-term downside pressure.
▼ The 30-minute trend itself is choppy and sideways, which can lead to false signals.
▼ If price breaks below 0.00140 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and a deeper decline may follow.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce fails to clear the 0.00144 resistance on the first attempt.