BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-01 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

38.0 % ↑ +0.1 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 98 % (55.01) ▼ Bearish 2 % (1.08)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 10.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	3.12
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.99
▲	SMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.77
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.08
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators fired on the 30-minute chart, signaling a short-term bounce.
Higher timeframes are mostly bullish but choppy, so this is a countertrend long within a broader uptrend.
Watch resistance at 84419.69 and support at 83373.00; a break above confirms, a loss of support invalidates.
The signal is strong (98% probability), but the mixed intraday trends warrant caution.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including APO Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up, alongside DEMA, EMA, and HT Trendline Retreat Ups. This confluence indicates that short-term momentum is turning higher after a pullback, with multiple oscillators confirming the shift. The signal's 98% probability and 'very strong' strength reflect the breadth of the setup, but the higher timeframe backdrop is mixed: while daily and 12-hour trends are bullish, the 30-minute and 15-minute trends remain bearish, and most intraday timeframes are choppy/sideways. This suggests the buy signal is a countertrend bounce within a broader uptrend rather than a fresh breakout.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 84419.69 and support at 83373.00. A decisive move above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and align lower timeframes with the higher timeframe uptrend. Conversely, losing support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the short-term bearish trend. Given the mixed trend scores, traders should treat this as a tactical long with tight risk management, respecting the invalidation level and waiting for confirmation on the 1-hour chart.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (APO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing up.
▲ Retreat-up signals on DEMA, EMA, and HT Trendline indicate price pulling back to dynamic support and resuming higher.
▲ Daily and 12-hour trends are bullish, providing a higher-timeframe tailwind.
▲ Signal strength is 'very strong' with a 98% probability, reflecting broad indicator agreement.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30-minute and 15-minute trends are still bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a false bounce.
▼ Most intraday timeframes are choppy/sideways, meaning momentum may fade quickly.
▼ A loss of support at 83373.00 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a sell-off.
▼ Resistance at 84419.69 is nearby; failure to break it could lead to a reversal.