ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-01 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (20.58)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 7.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.0 % vs 35.6 % average · stopped out 31.1 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 875 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.30
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.19
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.00
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	1.49
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.04
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster has fired on the 30M chart, suggesting immediate downside pressure.
Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are still bullish, so this is likely a pullback within an uptrend unless support breaks.
Watch the 2656.92 support level; a break below it would confirm a deeper correction, while resistance at 2738.51 limits upside.
The choppy nature of most timeframes means the bearish move could be short-lived; use tight risk management.

The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, KAMA Break Down, MA Break Down, T3 Break Down, AO Zero Cross Down, and SMI Signal Cross Down. This convergence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong short-term bearish impulse, with the probability rated at 100% and strength very strong. However, the higher timeframes (1H through 8H) remain bullish, though choppy, and the 12H and 1D show a more established uptrend. This creates a clear conflict: the immediate momentum is down, but the larger trend is still up. The nearest support at 2656.92 is the key level to watch; a break below it could signal a deeper pullback, while the nearest resistance at 2738.51 caps any bounce. The 30M trend is bearish and choppy, so the move may lack follow-through unless price sustains below support.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators all pointing down on the 30M chart.
▼ The 30M trend is bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
▼ The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the short-term move.
▼ The nearest support is not far below, providing a clear target for the bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H-8H) are still bullish, which could absorb the bearish pressure and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 12H and 1D trends are solidly bullish, so the pullback may be limited unless support breaks.
▲ The choppy/sideways nature of most timeframes suggests momentum may fade quickly.
▲ If price holds above 2656.92 and reclaims the 30M middle band, the bearish signal could be invalidated.